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NCTS Probability Seminar at NCCU
 
10:30 - 12:00, April 25, 2016 (Monday)
070116, Zhi Xi Building, NCCU
(政大應數系志希樓 070116)
Stochastic Games and Systemic Risk
Li-Hsien Leo Sun (Graduate Institute of Statistics, National Central University)

Abstract:

We propose a model of inter-bank lending and borrowing which takes into account clearing debt obligations. The evolution of log- monetary reserves of N banks is described by coupled diffusions driven by controls with delay in their drifts. Banks are minimizing their finite-horizon objective functions which take into account a quadratic cost for lending or borrowing and a linear incentive to borrow if the reserve is low or lend if the reserve is high relative to the average capitalization of the system. As such, our problem is a linear-quadratic stochastic game with delay between N players. An open-loop Nash equilibrium is obtained using a system of fully coupled forward and advanced backward stochastic differential equations. In addition, we discuss the application of the coupled diffusions on credit risk under Merton setting.



 

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